T5

Rationing & Friction

Forms, queues, and deadlines were never designed to ration public services. They have done it anyway, by making a process take enough effort to hold demand down. An AI agent removes most of that effort. When the effort goes, a service is exposed to as much demand as agents can generate, and capacity risks flowing to whoever can produce the most submissions rather than whoever needs help most.

Agencies field their own agents too, to triage, verify, or assess, so the same collapse of effort reshapes both who applies and how the state can respond.

01 Policy challenge

Friction (the form, the queue, the deadline) has long rationed government services without anyone designing it to. Because that rationing was never made explicit, its two functions were never separated: the friction that only excludes people entitled to help, and the friction that meters demand or signals genuine need.

As agents make completing any process trivial, that undesigned equilibrium collapses, and policymakers are left to decide deliberately what was previously settled by inertia.

02 Design challenge

Separate the friction that excludes people who are entitled to help from the friction that rations scarce public sector capacity.

Design limits an agent cannot bypass.

Show the difference between a real rise in need and gaming or overload.

Keep a path open for people who are harder to verify, so new limits don't shut them out.

Patterns in this territory

7 shown
5.1

Per-verified-human rate limits

A submission portal that checks a per-person counter against a verified identity before accepting a new application, showing the citizen how many submissions remain in the current period.

Emerging
5.2

Structured intake that resists volume-padding

An intake form built from constrained fields (drop-downs, date pickers, document-upload requirements) with conditional branching, ending in an explicit escape pathway to human review.

Established
5.3

Proof of personhood without challenge tests

A human-verification step that issues a privacy-preserving, rate-limited token via device attestation, with an in-person fallback that mints an equivalent time-limited token.

Established
5.4

Participatory-budgeting platforms as rationing alternatives

A municipal budgeting platform where residents propose, deliberate on, and vote for projects under a published spending envelope, with an accountability dashboard tracking delivery.

Established
5.5

E-petition threshold design

A petitions site with tiered response commitments (e.g. a written response at one threshold, debate consideration at another), where signing is gated by verified identity and the page surfaces quality signals alongside the raw count.

Established
5.6

Sludge audit frameworks and their inversion

An audit tool that maps a service's behavioral journey, scores each friction point, and tags it as exclusionary (remove), rationing (replace with a purpose-built mechanism), or reflective (preserve but redesign for agents).

Established
5.7

Appeal volume and overturn rate as early warning

A published adjudication dashboard tracking appeal receipts, disposals, backlog, and the proportion overturned in the claimant's favor, used to size tribunal capacity to true demand.

Emerging